Monday, February 19, 2007

gonna try to post a hand real quick before i have to leave...

i found this hand interesting...... and i played it wrong... even us profitable players make a lot more mistakes than we should.

9-max Seat #2 is the button
Seat 2: hafizzle (3640 in chips)
Seat 4: sprstoner (2170 in chips)
Seat 6: carolinat (645 in chips)
Seat 7: RaiNKhAN (1600 in chips)
Seat 9: Paul Skanski (5445 in chips)
hafizzle: posts the ante 25
sprstoner: posts the ante 25
carolinat: posts the ante 25
RaiNKhAN: posts the ante 25
Paul Skanski: posts the ante 25
sprstoner: posts small blind 100
carolinat: posts big blind 200
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to sprstoner [Ts 3d]RaiNKhAN: folds
Paul Skanski: folds
hafizzle: folds
sprstoner: folds carolinat collected 325 from pot

so we gave this guy a walk, our hand was weak... do you think he calls 100%? 75%?

well according to icm, i am assuming because of pot odds, even if we know 100% sure he is calling with 100% of the time, with 100% of the hands, we still have to push 78.6% of our hands here which include T2+ so if we think he folds anything at all we really need to push 100% of all hands here.
here is sng wizard with the hand plugged in:
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chaulk this one up as yet another oops....


lucko said...

Awesome hand to post. Very interesting. Wouldnt have guessed that was a shove.

NFulton said...

That's surprising. I must be overlooking a lot of hands that I'm making mistakes in just because I'm automatically assuming they're "obvious folds" for some reason. Good stuff.